Hungerford Town 1-2 Dorchester Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.15
Over Pick
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 51%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.84/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.05
-39% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hungerford Town
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Dorchester Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 4-2 HT 1-2 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
06.01.2024 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town 2-4 HT 0-0 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
12.09.2023 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Dorchester Town Dorchester Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Hungerford Town vs Dorchester Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorchester Town squeezed past Hungerford Town 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dorchester Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hungerford Town and 2.33 for Dorchester Town.

What was the final score of Hungerford Town vs Dorchester Town?

Hungerford Town 1-2 Dorchester Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hungerford Town vs Dorchester Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorchester Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hungerford Town 35%, draw 22%, Dorchester Town 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorchester Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorchester Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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