Poole Town vs Chertsey Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Poole Town v Chertsey Town — Team-Based Signals
Poole Town vs Chertsey Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Poole Town 3-1 Chertsey Town — Actual Match Statistics
Poole Town got the better of Chertsey Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Poole Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Poole Town had 56% of the ball to Chertsey Town's 44%, shots finished 9-7.
What was the final score of Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?
Poole Town 3-1 Chertsey Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 37%, draw 25%, Chertsey Town 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.