Rylands 1-1 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.9
Over
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
37%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rylands EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +23%
1.41/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.53
-18% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rylands
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Morpeth Town
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 5
24.08.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Rylands Rylands İNGNLP
30.03.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 1-3 HT 1-2 Rylands Rylands İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Rylands Rylands 2-0 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 3-3 HT 0-3 Rylands Rylands İNGNLP
19.11.2022 Rylands Rylands 2-0 HT 2-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rylands
1-1
AWAY Morpeth Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rylands vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rylands and Morpeth Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rylands had 51% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 49%, shots finished 7-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rylands had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Rylands and 0.80 for Morpeth Town.

What was the final score of Rylands vs Morpeth Town?

Rylands 1-1 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rylands vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rylands win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rylands 39%, draw 29%, Morpeth Town 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rylands) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rylands) ✓ Under 2.5
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