Tiverton Town 3-2 Marlow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
22%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
43%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Tiverton Town win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
80%
-22.0pp
20%
Draw
13%
+6.5pp
22%
Away Win
7%
+15.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Marlow EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.51/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/3.55
-40% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -34%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
410 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiverton Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marlow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.01.2025 Marlow Marlow 2-1 HT 1-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tiverton Town
3-2
AWAY Marlow
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tiverton Town vs Marlow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiverton Town edged past Marlow 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tiverton Town as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Tiverton Town had 59% of the ball to Marlow's 41%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Tiverton Town vs Marlow?

Tiverton Town 3-2 Marlow in the England - Non League Premier on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiverton Town vs Marlow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tiverton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tiverton Town 58%, draw 20%, Marlow 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tiverton Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tiverton Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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