14/01/2025
·
22:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Marlow vs Tiverton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
24%
Draw
24%
36%
Away Win
42%
53%
Under 2.5
41%
47%
Over 2.5
59%
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
50%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marlow v Tiverton Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marlow
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tiverton Town
EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-21% /
-21%
1.36/1.32
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.15/1.61
-9%
/
+11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-29%
/
-15%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
238 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
391 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.5
POST-MATCH
Marlow vs Tiverton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Marlow squeezed past Tiverton Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Marlow found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Marlow vs Tiverton Town?
Marlow 2-1 Tiverton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 14/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marlow vs Tiverton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marlow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marlow 40%, draw 24%, Tiverton Town 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marlow) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Marlow)
✗ Under 2.5
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
14 Jan 2025