Workington vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Workington v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals
Workington vs Ashton United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Workington
İNGNLP
5-0
HT 4-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
Workington 5-1 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics
Workington cruised past Ashton United 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Workington as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Workington had 41% of the ball to Ashton United's 59%, shots finished 15-7.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Workington and 1.67 for Ashton United.
What was the final score of Workington vs Ashton United?
Workington 5-1 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Workington vs Ashton United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Workington win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Workington 41%, draw 25%, Ashton United 34%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Workington), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.