Östersunds FK 2-1 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.95
Over
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.38
2-3
42%
1.78
4-5
19%
3.26
6+
8%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.38 — our 31% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.38
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
16%
5.34
X/2
12%
6.13
X/X
14%
5.01
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
14%
4.17
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.52/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.54
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Örgryte
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2024 Örgryte Örgryte 2-1 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
20.04.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
20.08.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 2-2 HT 2-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
11.06.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-1 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
17.09.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 0-1 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
24.05.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK nicked a narrow win over Örgryte 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Östersunds FK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östersunds FK had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Östersunds FK and 1.00 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs Örgryte?

Östersunds FK 2-1 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 41%, draw 27%, Örgryte 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östersunds FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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