Kongahalla 1-3 Motala AIF FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over Pick
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
43%
4-5
22%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.8pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.8pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongahalla EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.10/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/2.33
+0% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongahalla
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Motala AIF FK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK 3-2 HT 2-0 Kongahalla Kongahalla İSÇ4
29.03.2024 Kongahalla Kongahalla 4-1 HT 2-1 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Kongahalla vs Motala AIF FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motala AIF FK beat Kongahalla 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kongahalla at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kongahalla and 2.00 for Motala AIF FK.

What was the final score of Kongahalla vs Motala AIF FK?

Kongahalla 1-3 Motala AIF FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongahalla vs Motala AIF FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongahalla win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kongahalla 50%, draw 20%, Motala AIF FK 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kongahalla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kongahalla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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