Arenteiro vs Lugo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arenteiro v Lugo — Team-Based Signals
Arenteiro vs Lugo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Arenteiro
İS3
Arenteiro 2-1 Lugo — Actual Match Statistics
Arenteiro nicked a narrow win over Lugo 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arenteiro as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Arenteiro had 49% of the ball to Lugo's 51%, shots finished 7-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arenteiro and 1.33 for Lugo.
What was the final score of Arenteiro vs Lugo?
Arenteiro 2-1 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arenteiro vs Lugo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arenteiro win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arenteiro 46%, draw 29%, Lugo 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arenteiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.