Lugo 1-1 Arenteiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
6.31
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.0pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.06/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.07
-24% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arenteiro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
05.05.2024 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-3 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
25.11.2023 Lugo Lugo 0-1 HT 0-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
1-1
AWAY Arenteiro
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Arenteiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugo and Arenteiro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Lugo had 50% of the ball to Arenteiro's 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lugo and 1.00 for Arenteiro.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Arenteiro?

Lugo 1-1 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Arenteiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lugo 40%, draw 31%, Arenteiro 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lugo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
17 Nov 2024
14:00 Gimnastica Segoviana vs Sestao River Analysis →
14:00 Amorebieta vs Barcelona II Analysis →
14:00 Real Madrid II vs Antequera Analysis →
14:00 Ceuta vs Alcorcon Analysis →
14:00 Atletico Madrid II vs Merida AD Analysis →
14:00 Intercity Alicante vs Fuenlabrada Analysis →