Greuther Fürth II 5-1 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2025

Greuther Fürth II
5-1 HT 1-1
Bayern München II
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.23
Over
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.0pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greuther Fürth II v Bayern München II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +8%
1.62/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.55
+3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bayern München II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.43 xG 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
305 Passes 383
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
19.02.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 0-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
22.04.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-1 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
30.09.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-4 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
01.05.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
02.10.2021 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-3 HT 0-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II ran out comfortable winners over Bayern München II 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Greuther Fürth II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 2.00 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II?

Greuther Fürth II 5-1 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 39%, draw 23%, Bayern München II 38%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greuther Fürth II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
26 Apr 2025
14:00 Hertha Berlin II vs Meuselwitz Analysis →
14:00 Viktoria Berlin vs BFC Dynamo Analysis →
15:00 Rödinghausen vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Analysis →
15:00 Wiedenbrück vs Paderborn 07 II Analysis →
15:00 Düren Merzenich vs Gütersloh Analysis →
15:00 Ansbach 09 vs Türkgücü München Analysis →