Bayern München II 4-0 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.51
Over Pick
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
37%
4-5
24%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
2.35/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.34
+42% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
446 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.5 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.17 xG 1.43
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
383 Passes 305
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.02.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 0-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
22.04.2023 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-1 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
30.09.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-4 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
01.05.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
02.10.2021 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-3 HT 0-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
13.10.2015 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 3-2 HT 2-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayern München II vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II ran out comfortable winners over Greuther Fürth II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern München II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bayern München II and 1.67 for Greuther Fürth II.

What was the final score of Bayern München II vs Greuther Fürth II?

Bayern München II 4-0 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München II vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bayern München II 49%, draw 27%, Greuther Fürth II 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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29 Oct 2024
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