Vilzing 3-1 Buchbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilzing EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Buchbach EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.62/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.10
-3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilzing
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Buchbach
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
11.10.2024 Buchbach Buchbach 1-1 HT 0-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
13.04.2024 Vilzing Vilzing 3-1 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
29.09.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 1-2 HT 1-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
20.05.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 1-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
22.10.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 1-2 HT 0-1 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Vilzing vs Buchbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilzing saw off Buchbach 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vilzing as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vilzing had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Vilzing and 0.80 for Buchbach.

What was the final score of Vilzing vs Buchbach?

Vilzing 3-1 Buchbach in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilzing vs Buchbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vilzing win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vilzing 43%, draw 26%, Buchbach 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vilzing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vilzing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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