RC Strasbourg 3-1 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.93
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.05
X/1
17%
4.35
X/2
8%
11.2
X/X
10%
6.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.2
2/2
12%
8.09
2/X
7%
16.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.2 — our 10% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.7pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
2.13/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.72
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.0 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 1.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
358 Passes 347
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-0 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
20.02.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-2 HT 2-2 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
17.10.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 5-1 HT 2-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
17.01.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-0 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
12.09.2020 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-0 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
21.12.2019 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-1 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
3-1
AWAY Saint-Etienne
2.75 xG 2.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
514 Passes 479
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
38 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Saint-Etienne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg saw off Saint-Etienne 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had RC Strasbourg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 51% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 49%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.75 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for RC Strasbourg and 1.33 for Saint-Etienne.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Saint-Etienne?

RC Strasbourg 3-1 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 1 on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Saint-Etienne?

Before kick-off our model rated a RC Strasbourg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 49%, draw 26%, Saint-Etienne 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Strasbourg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RC Strasbourg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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