Le Havre 1-1 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 26 Apr 2025

Le Havre
1-1 HT 1-0
Monaco
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Le Havre vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
63%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.82
2-3 Goals
34%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.82 — our 30% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.8
1/2
8%
20.35
1/X
5%
20.25
X/1
5%
14.85
X/2
10%
4.02
X/X
9%
7.39
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
45%
1.67
2/X
5%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+3.5pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.3pp
63%
Away Win
67%
-3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.1pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Havre v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco EU Bookmakers 71%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.07/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.16
-26% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
18.9 Crosses 22.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Le Havre vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Monaco
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.70 xG 1.32
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
238 Passes 457
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Monaco Monaco 3-1 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
04.02.2024 Monaco Monaco 1-1 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
11.11.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 0-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
08.02.2013 Monaco Monaco 2-1 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
31.08.2012 Le Havre Le Havre 2-1 HT 1-0 Monaco Monaco FR2
20.04.2012 Monaco Monaco 1-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2

Le Havre 1-1 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
1-1
AWAY Monaco
0.48 xG 3.20
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
257 Passes 430
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 37
15 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre and Monaco shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Monaco at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Le Havre had 39% of the ball to Monaco's 61%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.48 to 3.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Le Havre and 1.33 for Monaco.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Monaco?

Le Havre 1-1 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Monaco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 18%, draw 19%, Monaco 63%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monaco), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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