Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.3pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.14/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.18
-11% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
199 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses 17.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
18.05.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
05.11.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
09.04.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-4 HT 1-2 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
21.08.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
04.05.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-2
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
358 Passes 434
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga squeezed past Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Matsumoto Yamaga made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 46% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 54%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 1.17 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 33%, draw 33%, Matsumoto Yamaga 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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