Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kashiwa Reysol v Albirex Niigata — Team-Based Signals
Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Albirex Niigata
JAP
0-0
HT 0-0
Kashiwa Reysol
JAP
3-2
HT 1-2
Albirex Niigata
JLK
2-0
HT 2-0
Kashiwa Reysol
JLK
Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Albirex Niigata — Actual Match Statistics
Kashiwa Reysol and Albirex Niigata couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Kashiwa Reysol at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 59% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 41%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.08 to 1.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.00 for Albirex Niigata.
What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata?
Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 42%, draw 29%, Albirex Niigata 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), BTTS No went the other way.