Zhetysu 0-3 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
22%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.4pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 54%
-20% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.55/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.86
-39% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
251 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Yelimay Semey
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
03.10.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 2-0 HT 1-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
30.06.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-1 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey swept aside Zhetysu 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yelimay Semey as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zhetysu had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zhetysu and 0.50 for Yelimay Semey.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Yelimay Semey?

Zhetysu 0-3 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 28%, draw 30%, Yelimay Semey 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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