FC Astana 2-1 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.07
Over 2.5
63%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.75
No
46%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
79%
-11.9pp
17%
Draw
15%
+2.1pp
15%
Away Win
5%
+9.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-7.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+7.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
32%
+21.8pp
46%
BTTS No
68%
-21.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
2.64/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.82
+14% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
280 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 130 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atyrau
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.10.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 3-2 HT 0-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
18.05.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
22.07.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 0-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
28.05.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
23.10.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 5-1 HT 3-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
21.05.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Atyrau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana nicked a narrow win over Atyrau 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Astana and 0.83 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Atyrau?

FC Astana 2-1 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 68%, draw 17%, Atyrau 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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