Santa Ana 3-3 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.82
Over Pick
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Ana EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
0.48/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.32
-71% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Ana
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-3 HT 1-1 Santa Ana KOSTA
08.11.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Ana KOSTA
19.09.2024 Santa Ana 1-1 HT 1-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Ana
3-3
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Ana vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Ana and Santos de Guapiles shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Ana at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Santa Ana had 47% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 53%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santa Ana and 1.33 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Santa Ana vs Santos de Guapiles?

Santa Ana 3-3 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Ana vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Ana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Santa Ana 42%, draw 25%, Santos de Guapiles 33%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Ana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Ana) ✓ Over 2.5
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