Santos de Guapiles 2-3 Santa Ana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.9pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Ana EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.78/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.20
+6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Santa Ana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Ana KOSTA
19.09.2024 Santa Ana 1-1 HT 1-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos de Guapiles
2-3
AWAY Santa Ana
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Santa Ana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Ana edged past Santos de Guapiles 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Santos de Guapiles at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santos de Guapiles had 59% of the ball to Santa Ana's 41%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Santos de Guapiles had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 0.50 for Santa Ana.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Santa Ana?

Santos de Guapiles 2-3 Santa Ana in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Santa Ana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos de Guapiles win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 47%, draw 32%, Santa Ana 21%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) ✗ Under 2.5
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