CS Herediano 2-1 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.98/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.43
+11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / +14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
18.09.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 5-4 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
29.02.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 4-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
18.01.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
24.09.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.07.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-4 HT 0-3 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
2-1
AWAY Municipal Liberia
61% Ball Possession 39%
25 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano squeezed past Municipal Liberia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CS Herediano had 61% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 39%, shots finished 25-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for CS Herediano and 1.33 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia?

CS Herediano 2-1 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 53%, draw 27%, Municipal Liberia 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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