Municipal Liberia 1-1 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.79/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.18
+44% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-1D-4L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 3.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 5-4 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
29.02.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 4-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
18.01.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
24.09.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.07.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-4 HT 0-3 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
1-1
AWAY CS Herediano
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia and CS Herediano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 43% of the ball to CS Herediano's 57%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CS Herediano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Municipal Liberia and 3.20 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs CS Herediano?

Municipal Liberia 1-1 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 34%, draw 32%, CS Herediano 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CS Herediano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →