Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.04
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.2pp
22%
Draw
29%
-7.7pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.64/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.25
+18% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
02.09.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
27.05.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
23.05.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
21.04.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
17.02.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
1-1
AWAY Alajuelense
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
16 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa and Alajuelense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Saprissa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 63% of the ball to Alajuelense's 37%, shots finished 12-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 0.67 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?

Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 44%, draw 22%, Alajuelense 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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