Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.43/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.05
+1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
227 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
27.05.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
23.05.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
21.04.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
17.02.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
19.11.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 0-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3-0
AWAY Alajuelense
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa swept aside Alajuelense 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Saprissa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 50% of the ball to Alajuelense's 50%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.00 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?

Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 40%, draw 31%, Alajuelense 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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