Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.67/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.31
-2% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alajuelense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.05.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
21.04.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
17.02.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
19.11.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 0-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTK
05.11.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
04.09.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3-0
AWAY Alajuelense
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa swept aside Alajuelense 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 51% of the ball to Alajuelense's 49%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.17 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?

Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 42%, draw 27%, Alajuelense 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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