Alajuelense 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.9
No
41%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.6pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+10.1pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.43/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.31
-18% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.05.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
23.05.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
21.04.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
17.02.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
19.11.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 0-2 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTK
05.11.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-0 HT 1-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense and Deportivo Saprissa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 25% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Alajuelense had 68% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 32%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alajuelense and 1.00 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Alajuelense 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 40%, draw 34%, Deportivo Saprissa 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alajuelense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
2 Sep 2024
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