Skanste 1-1 JDFS Alberts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
57%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
Over Pick
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
40%
4-5
29%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.4pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.6pp
56%
Away Win
54%
+2.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.0pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skanste EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 58%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.22/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.62
-79% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +105%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
258 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skanste
1W-2D-2L
AWAY JDFS Alberts
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
7 Corners 2
14.09.2024 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 0-1 HT 0-1 Skanste Skanste LET1
12.05.2024 Skanste Skanste 0-1 HT 0-1 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
04.11.2023 Skanste Skanste 0-1 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts LET1
23.07.2023 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 1-1 Skanste Skanste LET1
30.07.2022 JDFS Alberts JDFS Alberts 1-1 HT 0-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Skanste vs JDFS Alberts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skanste and JDFS Alberts couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. JDFS Alberts carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, JDFS Alberts led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Skanste and 0.80 for JDFS Alberts.

What was the final score of Skanste vs JDFS Alberts?

Skanste 1-1 JDFS Alberts in the Latvia - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skanste vs JDFS Alberts?

Before kick-off our model rated an JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Skanste 25%, draw 18%, JDFS Alberts 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JDFS Alberts), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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