26/04/2025
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Ogre United vs Tukums II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over
60%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
36%
4-5
34%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Ogre United win — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
17%
Draw
17%
19%
Away Win
12%
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
51%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ogre United v Tukums II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ogre United
EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tukums II
EU Bookmakers 16%
+12% /
+12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+5% /
+5%
6.61/1.46
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.43/2.66
+150%
/
-40%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-53%
/
-3%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
17
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
396 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
277 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Ogre United vs Tukums II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ogre United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Tukums II
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Ogre United vs Tukums II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ogre United swept aside Tukums II 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ogre United as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
What was the final score of Ogre United vs Tukums II?
Ogre United 4-1 Tukums II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ogre United vs Tukums II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ogre United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 64%, draw 17%, Tukums II 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ogre United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ogre United)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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LET1
More Latvia - 1st Division
26 Apr 2025