Sebat Gençlik SK 2-0 Bursa Nilüfer FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.3
Draw
33%
4.95
Away
33%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over Pick
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
72%
-38.9pp
33%
Draw
17%
+16.4pp
33%
Away Win
11%
+22.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebat Gençlik SK EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Bursa Nilüfer FK EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.73/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +105%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebat Gençlik SK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bursa Nilüfer FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
15.12.2024 Bursa Nilüfer FK Bursa Nilüfer FK 1-2 Sebat Gençlik SK Sebat Gençlik SK S3-4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sebat Gençlik SK
2-0
AWAY Bursa Nilüfer FK
46% Ball Possession 54%
27 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Sebat Gençlik SK vs Bursa Nilüfer FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebat Gençlik SK got the better of Bursa Nilüfer FK 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Sebat Gençlik SK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sebat Gençlik SK had 46% of the ball to Bursa Nilüfer FK's 54%, shots finished 27-8.

What was the final score of Sebat Gençlik SK vs Bursa Nilüfer FK ?

Sebat Gençlik SK 2-0 Bursa Nilüfer FK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebat Gençlik SK vs Bursa Nilüfer FK ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sebat Gençlik SK win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Sebat Gençlik SK 33%, draw 33%, Bursa Nilüfer FK 33%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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