Ilirija vs Aluminij Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ilirija v Aluminij — Team-Based Signals
Ilirija vs Aluminij Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Aluminij
SLVN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Ilirija
SLVN2
Ilirija 1-4 Aluminij — Actual Match Statistics
Aluminij swept aside Ilirija 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aluminij as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ilirija had 41% of the ball to Aluminij's 59%, shots finished 13-16.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aluminij led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ilirija and 2.00 for Aluminij.
What was the final score of Ilirija vs Aluminij?
Ilirija 1-4 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Aluminij?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 24%, draw 27%, Aluminij 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.