Gorica 0-3 Dravinja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-12.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Dravinja EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.17/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.63
+25% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Dravinja
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.10.2024 Dravinja Dravinja 0-3 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
16.03.2024 Dravinja Dravinja 0-1 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
02.09.2023 Gorica Gorica 3-0 HT 1-0 Dravinja Dravinja SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gorica
0-3
AWAY Dravinja
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Dravinja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dravinja ran out comfortable winners over Gorica 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gorica at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gorica had 46% of the ball to Dravinja's 54%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gorica had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gorica and 0.00 for Dravinja.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Dravinja?

Gorica 0-3 Dravinja in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Dravinja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gorica 51%, draw 24%, Dravinja 25%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gorica), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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