Domzale 1-1 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.97
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 33% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.38/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.73
+5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
1W-1D-1L
AWAY ND Primorje
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 0-1 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
02.11.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-0 HT 0-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
16.08.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 2-1 HT 1-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
1-1
AWAY ND Primorje
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Domzale vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Domzale and ND Primorje couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Domzale at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Domzale had 43% of the ball to ND Primorje's 57%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Domzale and 0.67 for ND Primorje.

What was the final score of Domzale vs ND Primorje?

Domzale 1-1 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Domzale win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Domzale 45%, draw 24%, ND Primorje 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Domzale), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Domzale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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