ES Rades 0-1 Oued Ellil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.82
Over
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
28%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.0pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.0pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Rades EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Oued Ellil EU Bookmakers 62%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
200 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Rades
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Oued Ellil
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Oued Ellil Oued Ellil 2-2 ES Rades ES Rades TUN2
31.05.2024 Oued Ellil Oued Ellil 1-0 HT 1-0 ES Rades ES Rades TUN2
20.12.2022 ES Rades ES Rades 0-0 HT 0-0 Oued Ellil Oued Ellil TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Rades
0-1
AWAY Oued Ellil
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ES Rades vs Oued Ellil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oued Ellil nicked a narrow win over ES Rades 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oued Ellil as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, ES Rades had 46% of the ball to Oued Ellil's 54%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Oued Ellil led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for ES Rades and 1.00 for Oued Ellil.

What was the final score of ES Rades vs Oued Ellil?

ES Rades 0-1 Oued Ellil in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Rades vs Oued Ellil?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oued Ellil win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split ES Rades 21%, draw 30%, Oued Ellil 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oued Ellil), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oued Ellil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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