Kampala City vs Mbarara City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kampala City v Mbarara City — Team-Based Signals
Kampala City vs Mbarara City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Kampala City
UGA
1-0
HT 1-0
Mbarara City
UGA
Kampala City 1-0 Mbarara City — Actual Match Statistics
Kampala City squeezed past Mbarara City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Kampala City had 67% of the ball to Mbarara City's 33%, shots finished 21-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kampala City had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kampala City and 1.00 for Mbarara City.
What was the final score of Kampala City vs Mbarara City?
Kampala City 1-0 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kampala City vs Mbarara City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 63%, draw 21%, Mbarara City 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.