CA River Plate 1-0 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -23%
1.38/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.29
+28% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
206 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Danubio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Danubio Danubio 3-0 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
02.03.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
11.11.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
22.07.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
31.03.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-1 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URU
24.09.2022 Danubio Danubio 3-0 HT 2-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
1-0
AWAY Danubio
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate nicked a narrow win over Danubio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 39% — and on the day CA River Plate made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, CA River Plate had 49% of the ball to Danubio's 51%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CA River Plate and 1.17 for Danubio.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Danubio?

CA River Plate 1-0 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 33%, draw 29%, Danubio 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Danubio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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