26/04/2026
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Naxara vs Beasain Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
31%
Draw
29%
38%
Away Win
41%
56%
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 2.5
44%
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
53%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naxara v Beasain — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naxara
EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Beasain
EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+26% /
+26%
1.44/1.08
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.46/1.00
+35%
/
+3%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+99%
/
+2%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
244 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
325 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
21.0
Crosses
–
3.1
Yellow Cards
3.2
Naxara vs Beasain Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Naxara
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Beasain
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
36%
Ball Possession
64%
11
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Target
2
2
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
Naxara 1-0 Beasain — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Naxara
1-0
AWAY
Beasain
49%
Ball Possession
51%
17
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
1
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
2
POST-MATCH
Naxara vs Beasain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Naxara squeezed past Beasain 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Naxara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Naxara had 49% of the ball to Beasain's 51%, shots finished 17-9.
What was the final score of Naxara vs Beasain?
Naxara 1-0 Beasain in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naxara vs Beasain?
Before kick-off our model rated an Beasain win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Naxara 32%, draw 31%, Beasain 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Beasain) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Beasain)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
26 Apr 2026