Chemnitzer FC 3-2 Meuselwitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.96/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.41
+16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 177 · 60%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Meuselwitz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-4 HT 0-2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
23.02.2025 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
30.08.2024 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
27.04.2024 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
12.11.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-0 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
16.04.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 0-3 HT 0-2 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Meuselwitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC nicked a narrow win over Meuselwitz 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chemnitzer FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 0.83 for Meuselwitz.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Meuselwitz?

Chemnitzer FC 3-2 Meuselwitz in the Germany - Regional League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Meuselwitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 45%, draw 28%, Meuselwitz 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✗ BTTS No
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