CA Sarmiento 1-0 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.93
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.76
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.9
X/1
9%
6.46
X/2
15%
4.54
X/X
21%
3.15
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
14%
3.39
2/X
5%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.5pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
1.13/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.91
-8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.7 Crosses 20.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 1.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
164 Passes 382
60% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
26.01.2024 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
20.08.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
14.04.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
05.10.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
03.01.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
1-0
AWAY Atletico Tigre
0.87 xG 0.49
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
230 Passes 264
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Sarmiento nicked a narrow win over Atletico Tigre 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and on the day CA Sarmiento made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 48% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 52%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.87 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA Sarmiento and 0.67 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Atletico Tigre?

CA Sarmiento 1-0 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Tigre win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 31%, draw 34%, Atletico Tigre 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Tigre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tigre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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