River Plate 3-1 Atletico Aldosivi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.29
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.56
Over 2.5
49%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
3.34
No
57%
1.28
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.89
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.53
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
3%
31.0
X/1
23%
3.15
X/2
7%
23.1
X/X
12%
5.21
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
4%
26.0
2/X
4%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-7.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
60%
-9.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
40%
+9.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
26%
+16.9pp
57%
BTTS No
74%
-16.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 9%
-12% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.95/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.73
+16% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +5%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 70%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
24.0 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.70 xG 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 Passes 238
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
30 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2022 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 0-3 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
27.08.2021 River Plate River Plate 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
09.05.2021 River Plate River Plate 4-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJ
03.11.2019 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-2 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
04.05.2019 River Plate River Plate 6-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi ARJSK
28.04.2019 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 1-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
3-1
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
3.36 xG 0.80
70% Ball Possession 30%
24 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
504 Passes 167
87% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Atletico Aldosivi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate saw off Atletico Aldosivi 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, River Plate had 70% of the ball to Atletico Aldosivi's 30%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 3.36 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for River Plate and 0.50 for Atletico Aldosivi.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Atletico Aldosivi?

River Plate 3-1 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split River Plate 67%, draw 20%, Atletico Aldosivi 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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