Independiente Rivadavia 5-1 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.98
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.5
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
18%
4.22
X/2
10%
8.81
X/X
11%
3.7
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
5%
7.81
2/X
8%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.14/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.18
-28% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +136%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
24.4 Crosses 10.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
22.10.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
03.07.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
24.02.2022 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJK
25.07.2018 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza HAZ
11.08.2015 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 4-2 HT 4-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
24.03.2015 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-3 HT 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
5-1
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
2.75 xG 0.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
192 Passes 129
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia ran out comfortable winners over Gimnasia Mendoza 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Rivadavia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 59% of the ball to Gimnasia Mendoza's 41%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.75 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Rivadavia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 1.17 for Gimnasia Mendoza.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Independiente Rivadavia 5-1 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 53%, draw 26%, Gimnasia Mendoza 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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