Excelsior 5-0 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 26 Apr 2026

Excelsior
5 - 0 HT 2 - 0
Utrecht
📅26/04/2026 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Excelsior vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.87
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
45%
2.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.98
Over
55%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.17
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.67
2-3
47%
1.79
4-5
25%
3.1
6+
6%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.57
1/2
4%
23.95
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
11%
6.75
X/2
16%
5.14
X/X
16%
4.92
2/1
2%
30.0
2/2
25%
2.98
2/X
5%
12.35
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Excelsior v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Excelsior The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht The Market 48%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.37 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.77
1.43 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.19
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Great
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2

Excelsior vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Utrecht
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.81
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
290 Passes 370
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.08.2025 Utrecht Utrecht 4-1 HT 2-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
27.01.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 1-1 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
12.11.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 2-2 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
25.01.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
02.10.2022 Excelsior Excelsior 0-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
23.02.2019 Utrecht Utrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL

Excelsior 5-0 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior
5 - 0
AWAY Utrecht
3.40 xG 0.72
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
459 Passes 276
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Excelsior vs Utrecht
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Excelsior ran out comfortable winners over Utrecht 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

A gentle 45% lean on Utrecht didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (55%) came in, both teams to score (58%) didn't.

The match data tells the story: Excelsior had 60% of the ball to Utrecht's 40%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 3.40 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Excelsior and 1.50 for Utrecht.

Excelsior vs Utrecht Result & Final Score

Excelsior 5 - 0 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Excelsior vs Utrecht Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 28%, draw 27%, Utrecht 45%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Utrecht), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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