APS Bomet 1-0 Sofapaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.9pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APS Bomet EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APS Bomet
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sofapaka
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Sofapaka Sofapaka 0-0 HT 0-0 APS Bomet APS Bomet KEN
POST-MATCH APS Bomet vs Sofapaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APS Bomet edged past Sofapaka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had APS Bomet as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of APS Bomet vs Sofapaka?

APS Bomet 1-0 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APS Bomet vs Sofapaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a APS Bomet win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split APS Bomet 44%, draw 31%, Sofapaka 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APS Bomet), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APS Bomet) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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