Leopards SC 0-1 Gor Mahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.32
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
23%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-4.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.7pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 46%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.05/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.63
+26% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leopards SC
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Gor Mahia
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 0-1 HT 0-1 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
02.06.2025 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 1-1 HT 1-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
30.03.2025 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
07.10.2023 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-2 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
20.10.2021 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
POST-MATCH Leopards SC vs Gor Mahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia squeezed past Leopards SC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Leopards SC and 0.80 for Gor Mahia.

What was the final score of Leopards SC vs Gor Mahia?

Leopards SC 0-1 Gor Mahia in the Kenya - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leopards SC vs Gor Mahia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leopards SC 23%, draw 32%, Gor Mahia 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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