KCB Nairobi 1-1 Homeboyz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.99
Draw
24%
2.83
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.51
Over 2.5
49%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
30%
+11.1pp
24%
Draw
32%
-7.4pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 42%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.84/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.00
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KCB Nairobi
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Homeboyz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
30.11.2025 Homeboyz Homeboyz 1-1 HT 1-0 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN
16.01.2022 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 2-3 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KCB Nairobi
1-1
AWAY Homeboyz
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KCB Nairobi vs Homeboyz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KCB Nairobi and Homeboyz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was KCB Nairobi at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, KCB Nairobi had 47% of the ball to Homeboyz's 53%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Homeboyz led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KCB Nairobi and 2.00 for Homeboyz.

What was the final score of KCB Nairobi vs Homeboyz?

KCB Nairobi 1-1 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KCB Nairobi vs Homeboyz?

Before kick-off our model rated a KCB Nairobi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KCB Nairobi 41%, draw 24%, Homeboyz 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (KCB Nairobi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KCB Nairobi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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