Homeboyz 1-1 KCB Nairobi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 30 Nov 2025

Homeboyz
1-1 HT 1-0
KCB Nairobi
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Homeboyz vs KCB Nairobi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.6
No
51%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.2pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
34%
+14.2pp
51%
BTTS No
66%
-14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Homeboyz v KCB Nairobi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
0.99/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.80
+4% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Homeboyz vs KCB Nairobi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homeboyz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY KCB Nairobi
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
16.01.2022 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 2-3 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN2
POST-MATCH Homeboyz vs KCB Nairobi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homeboyz and KCB Nairobi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Homeboyz vs KCB Nairobi?

Homeboyz 1-1 KCB Nairobi in the Kenya - Premier League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homeboyz vs KCB Nairobi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homeboyz win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Homeboyz 36%, draw 34%, KCB Nairobi 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Homeboyz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homeboyz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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