Ulinzi Stars 1-1 Bandari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
37%
2.7
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
25%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.9pp
37%
Draw
33%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.8pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandari EU Bookmakers 32%
-23% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.87/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.81
-9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulinzi Stars
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Bandari
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
29.03.2025 Bandari Bandari 2-1 HT 2-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN
11.12.2024 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 1-1 HT 1-1 Bandari Bandari KEN
29.12.2021 Bandari Bandari 1-0 HT 1-0 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulinzi Stars
1-1
AWAY Bandari
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulinzi Stars vs Bandari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulinzi Stars and Bandari couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 37% / 24% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Ulinzi Stars had 47% of the ball to Bandari's 53%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bandari led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ulinzi Stars and 1.33 for Bandari.

What was the final score of Ulinzi Stars vs Bandari?

Ulinzi Stars 1-1 Bandari in the Kenya - Premier League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulinzi Stars vs Bandari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ulinzi Stars 39%, draw 37%, Bandari 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ulinzi Stars), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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