30/11/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Police vs Shabana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
28%
Draw
32%
32%
Away Win
27%
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
58%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Police v Shabana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Police
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Shabana
EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+9% /
+9%
0.87/0.69
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.91/0.99
-9%
/
+20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+3%
/
-5%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
2
5
Corners
4
336 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
296 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.1
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Police vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Shabana squeezed past Police 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Shabana made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Police vs Shabana?
Police 0-1 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Police vs Shabana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Police 40%, draw 28%, Shabana 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Police) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Police)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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30 Nov 2025