Petrocub 1-0 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
45%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.9pp
45%
Away Win
34%
+10.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrocub EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 38%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.55/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.10
+87% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrocub
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Sheriff
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2026 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-0 HT 1-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
08.11.2025 Petrocub Petrocub 4-2 HT 1-2 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
14.09.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-0 HT 2-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
20.07.2025 Petrocub Petrocub 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
04.05.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 3-1 HT 2-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
29.03.2025 Petrocub Petrocub 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrocub
1-0
AWAY FC Sheriff
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Petrocub vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrocub edged past FC Sheriff 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sheriff at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Petrocub had 39% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 61%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Petrocub and 1.50 for FC Sheriff.

What was the final score of Petrocub vs FC Sheriff?

Petrocub 1-0 FC Sheriff in the Moldova - National League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrocub vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Petrocub 30%, draw 25%, FC Sheriff 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Sheriff) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
26 Apr 2026
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