Libertad 3-2 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 50%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -29%
1.30/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.12
+28% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
228 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2026 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
02.11.2025 Libertad Libertad 2-2 HT 1-2 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
17.08.2025 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
22.05.2025 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
16.03.2025 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 1-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
23.01.2025 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PARSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
3-2
AWAY Club Olimpia
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad edged past Club Olimpia 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Club Olimpia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Libertad had 45% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 55%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Libertad and 1.00 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Club Olimpia?

Libertad 3-2 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Libertad 29%, draw 25%, Club Olimpia 46%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✓ BTTS Yes
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